Emva koNyaka oMtsha waseTshayina,rebaramaxabiso eplate yexesha elizayo ehle kakhulu kwiintsuku ezimbini ezilandelelanayo zokurhweba, kwaye aphinde aphindaphindeka kwiintsuku ezimbini ezilandelayo, kodwa ubuthathaka bubonke buye baphumelela.Ukususela kwiveki ye-23 kaFebruwari (ngoFebruwari 19-23), isivumelwano esiphambili se-rebar sivaliwe kwi-RMB 3,790 / tonne, phantsi kwe-RMB 64 / tonne, okanye i-1.66%, xa kuthelekiswa nomhla wokugqibela wokurhweba ngaphambi koNyaka oMtsha waseTshayina (i-8 kaFebruwari) .
Kwiiveki ezi-2-3 ezizayo, intsingiselo yexabiso le-rebar iya kuba yindlela yokubonisa.Eli nqaku liza kuhlalutya ngokufutshane kwiimbono ze-macro kunye nezoshishino.
Izizathu zomjikelo wangoku wokuhla kwexabiso le-rebar?
Okokuqala, ukususela kunyaka wekhalenda, i-spot market turnover emva koMnyhadala we-Spring of 2 kwiiveki ukuya kwii-3 iiveki ngokusisiseko zikwimeko emileyo, emva koMthendeleko weNtwasahlobo uluhlu olubanzi lwemvula kunye nekhephu kwilizwe lonke kwandisa ngakumbi ukuhla kwemfuno yemarike.
Okwesibini, emva kweholide yoMnyhadala weNtwasahlobo, ukusetyenziswa kwe-coke kunye ne-coking coal inventory yamashishini entsimbi kwakusezantsi kakhulu kunokuba bekulindelwe, kwaye idatha yokuthunyelwa kwentsimbi ngexesha loMnyhadala weNtwasahlobo yayiphezulu kakhulu kunokuba bekulindelwe.Oku kukhokelele ekwehleni okukhawulezileyo kwamaxabiso ezinto ezikrwada, kwavula indawo yokuba irebar yehle ngakumbi.
Okwesithathu, amarhe e-Intanethi angaphambili okuba uYunnan uye wanqumamisa ulwakhiwo lwezinye iiprojekthi zeziseko ezingundoqo nawo anciphise ulindelo lwemarike kumgaqo-nkqubo ukusa kumlinganiselo othile.
Okwesine, ukusuka kwicala langaphandle, i-CPI kaJanuwari ye-US CPI (i-Index Price Index) idlulile ukulindela, idibene nokusebenza kwamva nje kwe-Federal Reserve, i-node yexesha lokunciphisa inzala okanye ukulibaziseka okuqhubekayo.Oku kukhokelele ekubeni izivuno zebhondi yase-US zihlale ziphezulu, kucinezele ngakumbi indlela ewonke amaxabiso ekamva elimnyama.
Ikhonkco leshishini alinayo ingqiqo yengxelo engapheliyo engalunganga kwixesha elifutshane
Emva koJanuwari, ngenxa yokunciphisa uxinzelelo lokusingqongileyo kunye nenqanaba lokuphucula kwinzuzo yamashishini ensimbi, ukuveliswa kwamashishini esinyithi exesha elide aphinde abuyele ngokuthe ngcembe.Ukusukela kwiveki yokugqibela phambi koMnyhadala weNtwasahlobo (ngoFebruwari 5-9), umndilili wemveliso yentsimbi yemihla ngemihla yamashishini entsimbi angama-247 kwilizwe lonke uye waphinda waphindaphindeka kangangeeveki ezintlanu ezilandelelanayo, ngokuphinda-phinda okongezeleka kweetoni ezingama-59,100.Kwiveki ephelileyo (ngoFebruwari 19-23), ngenxa yokuhla kwamaxabiso ensimbi, amashishini ensimbi agqithise ububanzi benqanaba lokwandiswa, kwaye imveliso yentsimbi yemihla ngemihla ibonakala i-10,400 toni yokuwa.
Ukongeza, ngenxa yeziko lombane inzuzo yentsimbi isekhona, nangona emva koJanuwari-nkqubo emfutshane imveliso ye-rebar ibonisa ukwehla kwexesha lonyaka, kodwa ukuhla kuncinci kakhulu kunexesha elifanayo kwiminyaka edlulileyo.Kwiveki yokuqala emva koNyaka oMtsha waseTshayina (i-19-23 kaFebruwari), i-short-flow rebar output yayiyi-21,500 yeetoni, ukwanda kwe-0.25 yezigidi zeetoni unyaka nonyaka (ikhalenda yenyanga).
Ngexesha elifutshane, kwiveki yokuqala emva koMthendeleko we-Spring ngenxa yokuhla ngokukhawuleza kwamaxabiso ensimbi, amashishini ensimbi ukuba aqalise kwakhona imveliso kulindeleke ukuba abe buthathaka, kwaye i-industrial chain chain ibonakala kumjikelo wengxelo engalunganga.Nangona kunjalo, ndiyakholelwa ukuba imakethi yangoku ayinawo amandla azinzileyo ohlengahlengiso lwengxelo.
Ukujolisa kwimfuno kunye nokuphunyezwa komgaqo-nkqubo emva kombindi kuMatshi
Ingqiqo elawula ukurhweba kweemarike kwiveki yokuqala emva koMthendeleko weNtwasahlobo ubukhulu becala kukulindela imfuno ebuthathaka kunye nokuhla kwenkxaso yeendleko.Idityaniswe nohlalutyo lwangaphambili, ndiyakholelwa ukuba, xa kungekho impembelelo embi enkulu, amaxabiso eepleyiti ze-rebar zexesha elifutshane awela ngaphantsi kweendleko zesithando somlilo sombane esinamandla entlambo ayinakwenzeka.
Kodwa emva kokungena ngoMatshi, imarike iya kuhlawula ngakumbi imfuno kunye nemeko yomgaqo-nkqubo wokufika.Imeko yokufunwa yeyona nto ibonakalisa intuitive isalathisi kwidatha ye-inventory, kwaye kufuneka ihlawule ingqalelo kwi-inventri ephezulu xa ibonakala kwaye emva kwesantya sokukhutshwa.Kwiveki yokuqala emva koMnyhadala weNtwasahlobo, uluhlu lwempahla lwe-rebar lwenyuka lwaya kutsho kwi-11.8 yezigidi zeetoni, eli nqanaba loluhlu lwempahla ngexesha elinye kwimbali liphezulu kakhulu.Idityaniswe nenyani yemfuno ebuthathaka yangoku, ndikholelwa ukuba amathuba okuqokelela iimpahla kwisiqingatha sokuqala sikaMatshi kuphezulu kunokuba kulindelwe.Ukuba oku kulindelekileyo kuyahlonitshwa, ngoko kuya kuba nempembelelo enkulu ekulindelweyo kwimarike.Ngokubhekiselele kwinqanaba lomgaqo-nkqubo, lixhalabele kakhulu kwiiseshoni ezimbini zeNgqungquthela yeSizwe yaBantu kwizalathisi ezibalulekileyo zezoqoqosho kunye nokungeniswa okunokwenzeka kwemigaqo-nkqubo, efana nokujoliswe kuko kokukhula kwe-GDP, izinga lokusilela kwemali, kunye nomgaqo-nkqubo we-real estate.
Ukushwankathela, emva kokuwa okubukhali kwiveki yokuqala emva koMthendeleko waseNtwasahlobo, ngokungabikho kwempembelelo entsha engalunganga, amaxabiso e-rebar okwethutyana awanawo amandla okuqhubeka nokuwa kakhulu, kulindeleke ukuba kwixesha elifutshane ukusebenza. uluhlu lwexabiso le-rebar ye-3730 rmb / tonne ~ 3950 rmb/tonne.emva kombindi kaMatshi, kuyimfuneko ukugxila kwimfuno kunye nemeko yokufika komgaqo-nkqubo.
Ixesha lokuposa: Mar-01-2024